Who's ahead in each governors race Leading candidate's forecasted chance of winning and margin of victory in each state. _enxt.push(['wp_setup_profiles', []]); Governor Secretary of State Ballot Measures State Results Exit Polls Polling Governor: Pennsylvania CNN coverage: What a 51-49 Senate majority means for Democrats Voters deliver ringing. He was up against the GOP candidate, Scott Wagner. Jobs. The election result was almost one-sided. November 7: Florida, Georgia move from Leans to Likely R; Iowa, Ohio, Texas Likely to Safe R; New York, Rhode Island Likely to Leans D; Oklahoma Likely to Leans R; Pennsylvania Leans to Likely D.Read the analysis >. How much is Soros/DNC paying now to go on conservative sites and being the rabid leftist you are? But maybe a whole lot of people just dont vote because they all figure its totally useless here since leftist democrats have super-majorities in all areas of the state. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Watch our interview with him live:", "NARAL endorses Shapiro in Pennsylvania gov. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 governor elections in 2022. The field is still taking shape, but it's already clear there's a lot at stake both races are currently categorized by the Cook Political Report as toss-ups. k.parentNode.insertBefore(enxt, k); Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 49 F. (Note: This data may be slightly different than results from NBC News' Decision Desk used elsewhere on this site)Amy O'Kruk/NBC. Where are the Shapiro ads linking Mastriano with Qanon.? In 2010, a Republican Tom Corbett became the Governor of Pennsylvania for the last time and since then a Democrat has been occupying the Office of the Governor of Pennsylvania. The New York Times reported in mid-June that Mastriano had been aided in the primary by the Pennsylvania Democratic Party and Shapiro's campaign with an ad equating him to Trump. He smashed. PA Governor Polls (Average): Josh Shapiro 52%, Doug Mastriano 43%.Google Search Share: Josh Shapiro 50%, Doug Mastriano 50%.Social Media Net Sentiment: Josh Shapiro -24%, Doug Mastriano -27.4%.CrowdwisdomLIVE Prediction: Shapiro to win by a 5-10% margin. Democrat Josh Shapiro won the Pennsylvania governor's office over far-right Republican Doug Mastriano, NBC News projected. On May 12, president pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate Jake Corman dropped out and endorsed Barletta. November 7:Toss-up races projected. Election Day Live Results: Choose a map to follow along as the votes are counted and races are called. Republican candidates for Pennsylvania governor, clockwise from top-left: Former U.S. Attorney Bill McSwain, State Sen. Doug Mastriano, former U.S. Rep. Lou Barletta, and State Senate President Pro Tempore Jake Corman. However, apart from donations, candidates also use external funds for their campaign expenditures. Governor of Pennsylvania: WATCH", "Pittsburgh Attorney Announces Exploratory Committee for Lt. Governor primary; AP projects", "Jerry Carnicella announces he's running for lieutenant governor", "Will Anyone Receive Endorsements at This Weekend's GOP Meeting? At the moment, Dr. Oz leads John Fetterman by 2 points. Hoping for the big one coming. [160][161][162], The Green Party nominees qualified for the general election ballot on August 1. Alinskys Rule 5 and right out of the box. One of the tightest governor's races in the country is between Gov. Extremists in Spring, Hoping to Beat Them in Fall", "Mastriano announces candidacy for Pennsylvania governor", "Ex-GOP Rep. Lou Barletta launches bid for Pennsylvania governor", "Barletta to enter Pennsylvania's GOP stakes for governor", "The Gale brothers of Montco are teaming up to run for governor and U.S. Senate", "A GOP strategist who worked for Reagan will run for Pa. governor as a 'conservative happy warrior', "William McSwain, Ex-Federal Prosecutor In Philadelphia Appointed By Donald Trump, Seeks Former President's Backing In Governor's Race", "Trump is putting Bill McSwain in the hot seat with his election lies. The final 2022gubernatorial race ratingsfrom Louis Jacobson for U.S. News & World Report. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2,657 voters in person as well as by phone. While this marked a 2.73% Republican swing from 2018, it was still 13.18% larger than Joe Biden's win in the presidential race in Pennsylvania two years earlier, and 9.86% larger than Shapiro's reelection for Attorney General that same year. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. @AustinDavisPA will fight for you", "LGBTQ Victory Fund endorses Brian Sims for Pennsylvania lieutenant governor", "In their first debate, Pa. GOP gov. Reproductive rights. var k = document.getElementById('enxt-script'); Shapiro defeated Mastriano by almost 15 points, a margin consistent with most polls. In total, 24 stories have been published about Monroe County, Pennsylvania which Ground News has aggregated in the past 3 months. Redistricting will change everything. Tom Wolf has kept the Republican-controlled state legislature from passing laws that forward conservative priorities stricter abortion restrictions and looser gun laws. (See how redistricting affected this state with our comprehensive tracker.). The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. November 1:New York moves from Likely to Leans Democratic; Oklahoma Likely to Leans Republican; Pennsylvania Leans to Likely Democratic. In my opinion California is a cheaters paradiseI lived here my whole life. If you Nazis dont want to be called Nazis then stop acting as Nazis. The PoliticsPA moving average of 14 polls still shows Shapiro holding an +8.2 percentage point advantage, while the most recent five polls place him at the same percentage difference. Now, voters will have a chance to either elect a governor that will build on Tom Wolf's popular record, or embrace a new direction for the next four years. Josh Shapiro has crushed Doug Mastriano in the money race; will votes follow? Abortion on the. We're in this fight for the future of Pennsylvania and the stakes are high. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+). We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. Governor", "Doug Mastriano and Rick Santorum hold rally in Drexel Hill", "All but one Pennsylvania House GOP members endorse Mastriano for governor", "Trump moves to general election mode with Pennsylvania rally", "During State College visit, Doug Mastriano promises 'new birth of freedom' if elected PA governor", "Doug Mastriano brings gubernatorial campaign to Westmoreland County", "Doug Mastriano rallies the faithful in Lancaster", "Election Denial in the Race for Pennsylvania Governor", "As campaign struggles, Doug Mastriano plans '40 days of fasting and prayer', "Gab Was Key To The Tree Of Life Shooting. Fetterman leads Oz, 47.7% to 45.9% the closest that the celebrity doctor has been in a poll since an Emerson College poll (Aug 22-23) found him trailing by four points. That has proven itself true over time. [81], The Libertarian Party nominees qualified for the general election ballot on August 1. John Fetterman for the Senate, while Republicans backed Doug. Almost all the polls gave Tom Wolf over 10% lead over Scott Wagner. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. Michigan Has Become Ground Zero in the Fight Over Abortion. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Governor forecast. Shapiro is the state's two-term elected attorney general. The contest is between Josh Shapiro, Attorney General of Pennsylvania, and Trump-endorsed state senator Doug Mastriano. These Valuable Pennies Are Worth Thousands, Philly POPS Musicians Disappointed' by Recent Moves. As of 1 p.m. on July 5, Shapiro is favored to win Pennsylvania's election for Governor, defeating State Senator Doug Mastriano in 74% of models. In the latest poll released by The Trafalgar Group, the Republican candidates for U.S. Senate and governor have closed their deficits considerably as the last days of summer fade away. As Governor, I won't only defend workers' rights I'll expand them. He also carried Lancaster, including the counties contained (either fully or partially) within his State Senate district, namely Adams, Franklin and York. Pennsylvania governor race divides Republicans, unites Dems by: Mark Levy, The Associated Press. The election was held on November 4th, 2014. And now he's running for governor! Updated after every poll. In 2014, Tom Wolf was running for the first time for the office of Governor of Pennsylvania. Arizona, Wisconsin move to Leans Republican; Kansas, Oregon to Leans Democratic. Pennsylvania Governor - Republican Primary. In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation and correctly called President Biden's victory in Pennsylvania. Below, we provide brief biographies for the candidates as well as donor information from the beginning of 2021 through June 6, 2022. November 7:Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Tilts Republican; Kansas, Oregon Toss-up to Tilts Democratic; South Dakota Likely to Safe Republican. But he's keeping busy", "Democrat Attorney General Josh Shapiro set to announce run for Pennsylvania governor", "Pa. Gov. Senator", "Pennsylvania Man Says He Will be an Independent Candidate for Governor in 2022", "Schuylkill County man running for Pa. governor as independent candidate", "Political outsider running for Pennsylvania House seat to represent part of Berks, Schuylkill", "Sen. Mastriano unveils new bill aimed at protecting confederate monuments", "Doug Mastriano's plan to allow armed teachers and staff in schools brings strong reaction from Josh Shapiro", "Rally held at Capitol to protest mask mandates, Gov. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Shapiro also made history by earning the most votes of any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, garnering just over three million votes. Important Dates. Black voters remain a crucial voting bloc for Dems and they need to ensure Philadelphia turns out to be high. Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. Wishful thinking wont help you. var enxt = document.createElement('script'); enxt.type = 'text/javascript'; enxt.async = true; Abortion throws Trafalgar model off which is pivotal to accurate polls. Governor", "Pittsburgh attorney Steve Irwin joins race to replace Doyle", "Mark Pinsley announces bid to set up rematch against Sen. Pat Browne", "I'm grateful for the support of my friends and colleagues across Pennsylvania who came forward on Day One to support our team. Josh Shapiro defeated Doug Mastriano by 14.8%. Election Polls . Governor", "AAPI VICTORY FUND ENDORSES JOSH SHAPIRO FOR PENNSYLVANIA GOVERNOR", "Josh Shapiro, other Democrats stump at get-out-the-vote rally in Highland Park", "BLACK ECONOMIC ALLIANCE PAC ENDORSES U.S. SENATE, GUBERNATORIAL, AND DOWN-BALLOT CANDIDATES IN MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN, PENNSYLVANIA, AND MARYLAND", "Today we're announcing our endorsement of @JoshShapiroPA", "LEADING PA ENVIRONMENTAL ADVOCATES ENDORSE JOSH SHAPIRO FOR GOVERNOR", "Congratulations Josh Shapiro! The Times saw it as part of a nationwide strategy to gain easier opponents in November. Mastriano, who claims the 2020 election was stolen from former President Donald Trump, remained registered and eligible to vote in New Jersey until notifying authorities that he was no longer living there in 2021.. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. RacetotheWH is projecting the results for every Governor and Senate election in 2022. We and our partners share information on your use of this website to help improve your experience. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. ", "Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro visits State College to campaign for governor position", "Shapiro makes his case for governor to Philly ministers", "Former Sixers announcer Marc Zumoff, Pa. Attorney General Josh Shapiro troll Ben Simmons in gubernatorial campaign ad", "W.Pa. Democrat Josh Shapiro will become Pennsylvanias next governor after defeating an ultra-conservative loyalist of former President Donald Trump in a race largely defined by the future of abortion rights in the state, NBC News projects. HARRISBURG The 2022 election for Pennsylvania governor is coming soon, and Spotlight PA wants to make sure you are prepared to make your choice. SPRINGFIELD, Ill. (AP) - The Illinois Secretary of State's office has begun ramping up enforcement during the holiday season for disabled parking spaces. 2022 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast, Cook Political Report 2022 Governor Ratings, U.S. News Governor Ratings by Louis Jacobson, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2022 primary election voters guide The Pennsylvania primary election is May 17. Monroe County Traffic Information. The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Dots closer to the. Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nations best forecasters. Who's running for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? LOCK HIM UP! An updating average, accounting for each poll's quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. that guide every prediction he makes. PA Governor Race 2022 Predictions: Who is Gaining? He defended the integrity of the election, protected the right to vote, and has always supported reproductive rights. All rights reserved. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. The 4 suburban collar counties around the city are also huge vote banks for Dems as they trend away from Trumps GOP. July 2022 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 20 30 40 50. On criminal justice issues, Shapiro promised to sign a bill abolishing the death penalty (after previously supporting it), but has also faced criticism from some left-wing voters for adopting a "tough on crime" image. Larry Hogan (R-MD) is Interviewed about Midterms; Court Ruling Wont' Slow Migrants; Voters Hit Polls in Five States", "GOP Gov. ", "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces New Gubernatorial and Statewide Endorsements", "Shapiro campaign reaching out to younger voters using the power of TikTok", "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Josh Shapiro for Governor of Pennsylvania", "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Josh Shapiro for Pennsylvania Governor", "Billboards touting Republicans supporting Josh Shapiro for governor going up around Pittsburgh area", "New Lincoln Project ad targets Mastriano", "Editorial: A new era of Pennsylvania politics", "PA Media Group endorses candidates for top offices in the Nov. 8 elections", "Josh Shapiro is the clear choice for Pennsylvania governor", "Josh Shapiro is the clear choice for governor", "Editorial: Our endorsement: Shapiro clearly best choice for governor", "Vote responsibly: Shapiro for governor, Fetterman for Senate", "Our View: Doug Mastriano's dangerous history of election denial and contemptuous disdain for system", "Kristin Kanthak: Some Pa. Republicans endorsed Josh Shapiro over Doug Mastriano. Here are the details about the last 3 Governor elections in Pennsylvania: PA Governor Polls: 2018 PA Governor Race: On November 6th, 2018, an election to elect the Governor of Pennsylvania was held. GOP senate candidateMehmet Oz finds himself closer than any other poll conducted since the end of the primary season, trailing Democratic candidateJohn Fetterman by just 1.8 percent. Trafalgar is paid by conservatives to describe closer contests when donors abandon a faltering Republican campaign. Their polls are the only worthwhile ones because they fulfill the honest intent of a poll. Just dont expect anyone to be swayed having an IQ way above yours. Lots of governors will be up for reelection in 2022 The incumbent, party, term-limit status, race rating and 2020 presidential margin in the 36 states with gubernatorial elections in 2022. The final2022 Governor Power Rankingsfrom Fox News. Sofi Stock Forecast 2023: Will SOFI Stock Recover? Rep. Austin Davis to enter Pa. Lt. Gov race with Dem Josh Shapiro's backing", "Who is State Rep. Austin Davis? RacetotheWH is projecting the results for every Governor and Senate election in 2022. ", "Jeff Coleman announces his campaign for PA Lieutenant Governor 11/10/21", "Former Rep. Jeff Coleman announces campaign for lieutenant governor", "Daniels jumps from Congressional race to Lt. Justice. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. Gala Price Prediction Today, Luna Classic Price Prediction 2023, 2025 and 2030, Will Shiba Inu Coin reach $1 in 2030? Corbett won the election by 9% and went on to become the Governor of Pennsylvania. In the chase for the governors mansion, Republican state senatorDoug Mastriano trails Pennsylvania Attorney GeneralJosh Shapiro by just a pair of percentage points. This is a race that will have enormous implications for Pennsylvanians. This is an interactive gubernatorial map derived from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? May 23, 2022 Likely Democratic Democrats nominated state Rep. Summer Lee, who has promised to join "The Squad" in Congress, to replace retiring Pittsburgh Rep. Mike Doyle. Brad Little won reelection in Idaho's gubernatorial race against Democrat Stephen Heidt after leading his opponent over 20 percentage points with only 9% . November 5:Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Leans R; Connecticut Likely to Safe D; Kansas, Oregon Toss-up to Leans D; New Mexico Leans to Likely D; South Dakota, Texas Likely to Safe R. The final 2022 Governor ratings fromElections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage. Thanks to Ryan Boyer and @LiUNA for bringing so many of us together last night. Nobodys accuracy record is perfect but California is a one-party state that ensures the election count comes out the way it wants it to. monroe, mi breaking newsvision transformer huggingface January 18, 2022. YES, California is the home of election cheatingthey perfected it because they set things up to be nearly impossible to detect for one, and secondly the light has never been shined on them yet because they were not one of the 6 states that cheated in November 2020. They propose a yearly spending plan that sets the course for months of policy debates with the General Assembly on issues including education spending and taxes. var _enxt = _enxt || []; Thomas Hengge & Steven M. Falk / Philadelphia Inquirer. Except for Adams and Franklin counties, Lancaster and York were once again carried by single digits by the Republican gubernatorial candidate just like 2018, as Mastriano's extremist views likely turned off moderate Republicans in these areas. Inmate Inquiry. Who's ahead in the Pennsylvania governor race? Microsoft Stock Forecast 2023: Is MSFT a Safe Bet in 2023? Almost all the polls gave Tom Wolf over 10% lead over the incumbent Governor Scott Wagner. [181] One of Mastriano's most vocal supporters was Andrew Torba, the CEO of far-right social media website Gab, which was the same website where the perpetrator of the Tree of Life Synagogue shooting posted before committing the massacre. Maybe if the Dems didnt steal votes and cheat then the poll would have been 100% accurate. "[182], No debate was held during the general election, as Shapiro and Mastriano were unable to come to an agreement on how to debate. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Vroom Stock Forecast: Will VRM Stock Rise Above $2? Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano in a landslide victory to succeed term-limited incumbent Democratic governor Tom Wolf. So California has been flying naked under the radar for many years. Shapiro defended the move, saying the ad demonstrated the contrast between him and Mastriano as part of the general election campaign. SNDL Stock Forecast 2023: Will SNDL Reach $3? Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast. [77] On May 14, former President Donald Trump endorsed Mastriano. Then we break down where the top two candidates stand on the issues. Trafalgar is the outfit that admits to doctoring its results with a proprietary secret sauce and has acknowledged that it changed the recipe after being humiliated in 2020. All rights reserved. This poll called the Gavin Newsome recall vote competitive. Claim up to $1,000 in free bet credits. The result was as per the expectation. Doug Mastriano, meanwhile, piled up large margins in Pennsylvania's rural counties, but also won some populous places like Butler, Washington, and Westmoreland counties near Pittsburgh. Read the analysis ($)>. HUGHESVILLE BOROUGH, LYCOMING COUNTY (WBRE/WYOU) Pennsylvania State Police-Mountoursville says they have arrested a suspect involved in an armed robbery from November 2022, at a CITGO in . DraftKings Stock Forecast 2023: Will DKNG Rise Above $30? Read the Analysis >. Get the forecast for today, tonight & tomorrow's weather for Arlington, VA. November 7: Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin . The polls for the election did not favor the incumbent. Georgia is an area that Republicans deem to be on the defensive. His total expenditure as of now is $7,749,175. Shapiro's revenge: a massive bank account", "Boyd backs Shapiro, calls Mastriano an 'extremist', "Fulop holding fundraiser for Shapiro in Pennsylvania governor's race", "Josh Shapiro pitches economic plan during visit to Pittsburgh's robotics row", "Helen Gym Is Ready for Battle Over Roe, the Sixers and More", "Transcript: Leadership During Crisis with Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney", "SClout has three questions every Election Day. May 23, 2022 Lean Democratic Some Republicans describe GOP nominee Doug Mastriano as borderline unelectable. LUCID Stock Forecast 2023: LCID Is In A Free Fall, Time to Buy the Dip? Shown is the Pennsylvania Capitol in Harrisburg, Pa., Monday, May 6, 2019. Cool. All counties in the Keystone State voted the exact same way they did in 2018, with Shapiro doing best in heavily populated Southeastern Pennsylvania, which is made up of Philadelphia and its suburbs, Berks County (Reading), the Lehigh Valley (Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton), the Wyoming Valley (Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, and Hazelton), the Susquehanna Valley (Harrisburg and Carlisle), Erie County in the northwest corner, and finally, Greater Pittsburgh in the southwest. Full List of Governor Races Current 24 Clear. Alphabet Stock Forecast 2023: Will Google Reach $100? Democrats cautiously celebrated when Republican Doug Mastriano won his party's nomination in the May primary, hopeful that even in a pro-GOP environment Pennsylvania voters will reject such an extreme candidate. November 7:Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Leans Republican; Michigan Likely to Leans Democratic; Oregon Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Incumbents typically have an advantage in elections, but not always. The Trafalgar Group poll was conducted September 13-15 with 1,078 respondents and a margin of error of +/- 2.9%. Looking for the Pennsylvania Senate Forecast? Trafalgar is the best at what they do which is not creating psychologically-engineered suppression polls, but polls that most closely reflect public sentiment. Mastriano trails Shapiro by a 47.4% to 45.4% margin the tightest the race has been since a Cygnal poll in mid-July showing the Franklin County state senator down by 2.9 points. Barletta . Everyone dodged the third one", "Shapiro, Philly officials blast Mastriano for Confederate uniform faculty photo", "Josh Shapiro visits Lancaster County Democrats", "Shapiro tours North Philly's Latino businesses, speaks with local owners in latest campaign stop", "PASNAP endorses Josh Shapiro for governor", "Pennsylvania Firefighters Association endorses Democrat Josh Shapiro", "PSEA recommends Josh Shapiro in Democratic gubernatorial primary", "Pennsylvania State Troopers Association endorses Democrat Shapiro, Republican Oz", "Philadelphia Federation of Teachers Endorses Shapiro for Governor", "USW Proudly Supports Josh Shapiro, Austin Davis for Pennsylvania Governor, Lt. Over the nearly eight years Wolf has been in office, members of . candidates promise lower taxes, school choice", "The Pa. governor's race will shape voting laws and maybe the 2024 election", "Jake Corman drops out of Pennsylvania governor race, endorses Lou Barletta", "Trump endorses Doug Mastriano for governor of Pennsylvania", "Trump denounces Bill McSwain as a 'coward,' dashing the Pa. Republican's hopes for an endorsement", "Lou Barletta is getting new support in the governor's race as GOP leaders try to stop Doug Mastriano", "Democrats' Risky Bet: Aid G.O.P. The final 2022 Governor ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site produced by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps,@lxeagle17, and @macrotargeting. Scott Wagner got 40.7% of the total votes. Gubernatorial candidates Jake Corman and. The Democratic Candidate for the upcoming Pennsylvania Governor Race, Josh Shapiro has been able to raise $20,528,555 in funds to finance his PA Governor Race campaign. Josh Shapiro is Pennsylvania's Attorney General and was also a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives from 2012 through 2017. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? And Trump did win in 2020! Five gubernatorial candidates will be on the Nov. 8 ballot, alongside their party's candidate for lieutenant governor. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. The latest 2022 governor ratings from Inside Elections. Republican state senator Doug Mastriano conceded the Pennsylvania governor's race to his Democratic opponent Josh Shapiro several days after Shapiro was projected as the winner by NBC News. As of 1 p.m. on July 5, Shapiro is favored to win Pennsylvania's election for Governor, defeating State Senator Doug Mastriano in 74% of models.