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Early 2021. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. Something went wrong, please try again later. The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? The poll for the Sun found. In all polls the dont knows are removed. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. Gender Recognition Act, Tags: Gender Recognition Act, Gender Recognition Reform, Panelbase, poll, survey. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". Please check you have typed it correctly. Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. independence? At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. 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We don't have an account for this email address. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or By the time that the SNP under Alex Salmond had won an outright majority at Holyrood in 2011, support for Scottish independence had started to nudge back up towards 40%. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. We list the most recent surveys: Wings Over Scotland poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 14 Feb 2023: Confirmation Bias for BeginnersFull results, By well over 2 to 1, respondents felt that they were being let down by the people who are supposed to speak for them. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. But we can't do it without you. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Relevance is automatically assessed so some headlines not qualifying as Scottish Opinion Poll news might appear - please feel free to contact us regarding any persistent issues. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Charities & not-for-profit. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. About; Social . All Rights Reserved. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. Company number: SC669393. A Y @britainelects. : medium.com. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. The latest Panelbase survey. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. We will not share your email address with any third parties. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. Yahoo News / YouGov polls . When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Journalism in Britain is under threat. Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed. 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The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. Big names to go would include Joanna Cherry and Mhairi Black. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Don't miss out! An existing account was found for this email address. Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? All rights reserved. @BritainElects. The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. 2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. Please try different keywords. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found.